Paul Camp t S r p r o n 1 5 s o S r h c e d · One of the key questions raised by Donald Trump’s 2016 victory has been whether he represents a new turn in American politics or merely a blip who will be quickly forgotten if he loses in 2020. For a very long time Democrats have believed that demographics were on their side. Republicans are acutely dependent on white voters, and every election cycle the share of white voters declines by a percent or two. Since voters of color largely support Democrats, this would someday make it all but impossible for Republicans to win the presidency. But when would that day come? The Census Bureau projects that white voters won’t lose their absolute majority until 2044, but the Republican day of reckoning will come long before that, because not all white voters are conservative. In fact, I believe that it’s already happened. It came in 2008, and ever since then it’s been close to hopeless for a Republican to win the presidency. T...